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Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 at 2am UK
Austin FC Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Austin
4 - 3
Kansas

Gallagher (27'), Cascante (63'), Hoesen (85'), Driussi (90+4')
Gabrielsen (68'), Driussi (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Fontas (12'), Agade (23'), Russell (40' pen.)
Agade (86'), Salloi (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Austin 3-3 Earthquakes
Sunday, August 7 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City

Last Six:
Last Game: Kansas 4-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, August 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-2 Sporting Kansas City

 Buoyed by last weekend's victory, Sporting Kansas City will head into Saturday with renewed belief as they mount a charge from the bottom of the conference standings. While taking on Austin FC is a stern task for any side in the division, we are backing the Wizards to do just enough to leave with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 63.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
63.67% (0.214 0.21) 20.24% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 16.08% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.24% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (0.117 0.12)41.95% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64% (0.11799999999999 0.12)64.36% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (0.096000000000004 0.1)12.51% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.48% (0.198 0.2)38.52% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)39.14% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.14% (-0.09 -0.09)75.85% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 63.66%
    Sporting Kansas City 16.08%
    Draw 20.24%
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
2-0 @ 10.57% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.33% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.81% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.57% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 63.66%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.08%

How you voted: Austin vs Kansas

Austin FC
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Sporting Kansas City
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 1.30am
Kansas
0-2
Austin

Duke (39'), Sweat (73')
Duke (43')
Ring (45+1'), Driussi (90')
Cascante (25'), Pereira (38'), Urruti (42')
Nov 4, 2021 1am
Austin
3-1
Kansas
Driussi (1'), Cascante (22'), Stroud (60')
Gallagher (50')
Russell (65')
Isimat-Mirin (21')
Jun 12, 2021 8pm
Kansas
1-1
Austin
Salloi (71')
Walter (32')
Dominguez (26')
Besler (79'), Lima (90')
May 10, 2021 12.30am
Kansas
2-1
Austin
Sanchez (82'), Kinda (90+1')
Sanchez (56'), Martins (59')
Gallagher (7')
Romana (42'), Ring (45+1'), D (90')
Ring (67')
rhs 2.0
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6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
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9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
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