We said: Chicago Fire 2-1 DC United
Football can be cruel at times, as Chicago discovered in their previous encounter, losing a game in which they deserved at least a point, but the beauty of this sport is that things often have a way of evening out.
DC have looked shaky on the back end away from home, and even with their potent attack, we expect the Fire to be stingier defensively while exposing the openings that the Black and Red tend to allow in the attacking third.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chicago Fire.
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