Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 26.1% and a draw has a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.93%).
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York City FC |
51.71% ( 0.52) | 22.19% ( -0.15) | 26.1% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 62.39% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.74% ( 0.35) | 37.26% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.53% ( 0.38) | 59.47% ( -0.38) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.38% ( 0.29) | 14.62% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.27% ( 0.57) | 42.72% ( -0.57) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.08% ( -0.08) | 26.92% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.75% ( -0.11) | 62.25% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.27% Total : 51.71% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 35 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 77 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 55 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 44 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 41 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 50 | 24 | 67 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 67 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 50 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 50 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 65 | 61 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |