Montreal2 - 0NY City
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Sunday, October 6 at 9.25pm in Major League Soccer
for
We said: CF Montreal 2-1 New York City FC
Despite their form against the Pigeons in recent times and the fact that NYCFC have plenty to play for, we are going with the home side. Le CFM have essentially been in must-win mode over the past few weeks and delivered more often than not, which has us believing they can claim a victory when they need it most. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York City FC |
40.12% ( 0.01) | 24.31% ( -0.02) | 35.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.11% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
