Houston4 - 1Earthquakes
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, June 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, June 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes
Both Houston and San Jose have shown their defensive resilience in recent weeks, conceding just four goals across the last seven fixtures combined, and a tight affair between two evenly-matched teams could be in store on Thursday. However, Houston seem to have the edge in the final third at present, and we believe that the hosts will come out on top with a narrow victory.How to watch
You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
54.24% ( 0.71) | 23.09% ( -0.26) | 22.67% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
