Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.