Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.