Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.