Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
61.95% (![]() | 21.06% (![]() | 16.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.05% (![]() | 43.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.66% (![]() | 66.33% (![]() |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.36% (![]() | 13.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.19% (![]() | 40.81% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.77% (![]() | 39.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.06% (![]() | 75.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 10.65% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.61% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 61.93% | 1-1 @ 9.97% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.06% | 0-1 @ 5.01% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 2.07% Total : 16.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 59 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 51 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 50 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 43 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 39 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 38 |
7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 37 |
8 | Toronto | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 33 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 30 |
11 | DC United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 29 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 27 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 26 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 26 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 47 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 41 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 41 |
7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 40 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Dallas | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 33 |
12 | St Louis City | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 17 |