Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 53.71%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
53.71% (![]() | 22.38% (![]() | 23.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.67% (![]() | 40.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.3% (![]() | 62.71% (![]() |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.97% (![]() | 15.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.48% (![]() | 43.52% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% (![]() | 30.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.57% (![]() | 66.44% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
2-1 @ 9.76% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.62% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.01% Total : 53.71% | 1-1 @ 10.3% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 6.16% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 23.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
2 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
4 | Chicago Fire | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 11 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
7 | Orlando City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
9 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 |
12 | DC United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
13 | New England RevolutionNew England | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
14 | Toronto | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
2 | Austin FCAustin | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
5 | Portland TimbersPortland | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
6 | Dallas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 |
8 | St Louis City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
9 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
12 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 |
13 | Houston DynamoHouston | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 2 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 1 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |