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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Nashville

Philadelphia
3 - 0
Nashville

Gazdag (10', 39', 89')
Lowe (2'), Uhre (20'), Elliott (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Muyl (60'), Bauer (67'), Godoy (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 5-1 New England
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-3 Orlando City
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Nashville SC

Only Inter Miami have seen their matches produce more goals than Philadelphia Union this term, and we could be in for another goal fest this weekend. That said, we can also see the teams cancelling each other out to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 19.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
58.34% (3.43 3.43) 22.05% (-0.883 -0.88) 19.61% (-2.548 -2.55)
Both teams to score 54.15% (-0.968 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (0.586 0.59)44.17% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (0.567 0.57)66.55% (-0.569 -0.57)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (1.349 1.35)14.83% (-1.352 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86% (2.515 2.52)43.14% (-2.518 -2.52)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58% (-2.18 -2.18)36.42% (2.177 2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-2.267 -2.27)73.2% (2.265 2.27)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 58.34%
    Nashville SC 19.61%
    Draw 22.05%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.646 0.65)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.341 0.34)
3-0 @ 6.26% (0.678 0.68)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.293 0.29)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.445 0.45)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.064 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.159 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.214 0.21)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.05%
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.482 -0.48)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.536 -0.54)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.427 -0.43)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.209 -0.21)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 19.61%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Nashville

Philadelphia Union
76.9%
Draw
23.1%
Nashville SC
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
0-2
Philadelphia

Lovitz (39'), Leal (43'), Bunbury (71')
Lovitz (81'), Moore (90+5')
Gazdag (40' pen., 84')
Curtin (40'), Wagner (44'), Gazdag (84')
Carranza (90+5')
May 1, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Nashville
1-1
Philadelphia
Leal (85' pen.)
Lovitz (33'), Muyl (37'), Davis (49'), Leal (76')
Uhre (66')
Wagner (60'), Andres Martinez (62'), Blake (84')
Nov 28, 2021 10.30pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Nashville
(Aggregate 1-1 | Philadelphia win 2-0 on penalties)
Gazdag (45+2')
Williams (38')
Leal (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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