Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Toronto2 - 1Philadelphia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
36
We said: Toronto 2-1 Philadelphia Union
The last few weeks have been disastrous for both clubs, but we are leaning towards the Reds, who have several of their veterans back in the fold, while the Union look lost, perhaps understandably so given the heavy rotations. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toronto in this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
49.25% ( 0.18) | 22.42% ( -0.04) | 28.32% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 63.59% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.45% ( 0.11) | 36.55% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.3% ( 0.12) | 58.69% ( -0.13) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% ( 0.1) | 15.19% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.18% ( 0.19) | 43.81% ( -0.2) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( -0.03) | 25.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.31% ( -0.05) | 59.68% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Toronto 49.25%
Philadelphia Union 28.33%
Draw 22.42%
| Toronto | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.08% Total : 49.25% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 28.33% |
How you voted: Toronto vs Philadelphia
Toronto
61.4%Draw
34.1%Philadelphia Union
4.5%44
Head to Head
May 30, 2024 12.30am
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Apr 17, 2022 12.30am
Form Guide
