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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Montreal Impact

NY Red Bulls
2 - 2
Montreal

Carmona (18'), Choiniere (75' og.)
Nealis (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (67', 81' pen.)
Piette (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 14 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Atlanta
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-0 CF Montreal

The Red Bulls' consistency at home has us leaning towards them winning on Wednesday against a Montreal side that appear to be rather intimidated and uneasy outside of Saputo Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 11.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
70.68% (1.857 1.86) 17.72% (-0.823 -0.82) 11.59% (-1.039 -1.04)
Both teams to score 49.41% (-0.464 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (1.109 1.11)40.65% (-1.114 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.96% (1.128 1.13)63.03% (-1.132 -1.13)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.72% (0.77500000000001 0.78)10.28% (-0.779 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.34% (1.742 1.74)33.66% (-1.746 -1.75)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.07% (-1.004 -1)44.92% (1.001 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.12% (-0.817 -0.82)80.87% (0.813 0.81)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 70.68%
    CF Montreal 11.6%
    Draw 17.72%
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
2-0 @ 11.95% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 10.5% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 9.06% (0.42 0.42)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.141 0.14)
4-0 @ 5.16% (0.396 0.4)
4-1 @ 4.13% (0.21 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.35% (0.25 0.25)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.153 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 70.68%
1-1 @ 8.41% (-0.393 -0.39)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.239 -0.24)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 17.72%
0-1 @ 3.7% (-0.301 -0.3)
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-2 @ 1.48% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 11.6%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Montreal

New York Red Bulls
72.1%
Draw
18.6%
CF Montreal
9.3%
43
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2024 12.30am
Montreal
2-2
NY Red Bulls
Sunusi (11'), Opoku (40')
Saliba (22'), Sosa (87')
Carmona (61'), Hall (88')
Harper (52'), Edelman (60'), Eile (76')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
2-1
Montreal
Reyes (23'), Burke (38')
Casseres Jr (45')
Waterman (29')
Camacho (16'), Duke (32'), Herrera (65')
Sep 1, 2022 12.30am
Apr 9, 2022 9pm
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Montreal
Fernandez (14')
Long (63'), Edwards (68'), Casseres Jr (87')
Camacho (71'), Quioto (81')
Wanyama (8'), Kone (45'), Waterman (62'), Mihailovic (83')
rhs 2.0
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