Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 11.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.