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Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Colorado Rapids

Earthquakes
1 - 0
Colorado

Espinoza (78')
Monteiro (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Acosta (45+2'), Price (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, March 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids

All competitions
Last Game: Colorado 0-0 Kansas
Sunday, March 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Colorado Rapids

 We think that this game will be dictated largely in possession by the visitors, that it will ultimately end in a low-scoring draw due to the away side's inability to finish off the chances that they create.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Colorado Rapids and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 57.46%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 21.51% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawColorado Rapids
57.46% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 21.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 21.51% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.83% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.2% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)36.8% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.03% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)58.97% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)12.68% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)38.87% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)30.34% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)66.53% (0.076000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 57.46%
    Colorado Rapids 21.51%
    Draw 21.03%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawColorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.2% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.95% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 57.46%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.03%
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 21.51%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Colorado

San Jose Earthquakes
42.9%
Draw
57.1%
Colorado Rapids
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 3am
Colorado
2-1
Earthquakes
Rubio (21'), Rosenberry (77')
Cardoso (37')
Remedi (48')
May 8, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
1-0
Colorado
Cardoso (64')
Calvo (73')
Sep 5, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
0-1
Colorado

Remedi (61'), Alanis (84')
Badji (89')
Abubakar (4'), Mezquida (81'), Price (85')
Jul 18, 2021 2am
Colorado
1-1
Earthquakes
Bassett (53')
Shinyashiki (38'), Toure (88'), Trusty (90+2'), Price (90+5')
Lopez (11')
Espinoza (55')
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm
Earthquakes
P-P
Colorado
rhs 2.0
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6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
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1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
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3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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