Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 73.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Toronto |
73.77% ( 0.23) | 16.31% ( -0.01) | 9.91% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.28% ( -0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.08% ( -0.67) | 38.92% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.76% ( -0.71) | 61.23% ( 0.71) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.91% ( -0.11) | 9.08% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.12% ( -0.27) | 30.87% ( 0.27) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.11% ( -0.89) | 46.89% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.59% ( -0.69) | 82.4% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Toronto |
2-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.91% Total : 73.76% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.31% | 0-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 9.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 71 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 69 | 38 | 31 | 63 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 52 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 50 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 48 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 47 |
8 | DC United | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 40 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 40 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 48 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 61 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 56 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 51 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 50 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 49 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 47 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 64 | 55 | 9 | 46 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 39 |
11 | Dallas | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 38 |
12 | St Louis City | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 33 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 21 |