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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Lower.com Field
Toronto FC

Columbus Crew
4 - 0
Toronto

Camilo Hernandez (15'), Ramirez (52'), Farsi (81'), Rossi (85')
Nagbe (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bernardeschi (45+8'), Etienne (67'), Franklin (86'), Thompson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville
Thursday, July 4 at 1.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Orlando City
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-0 Toronto

Toronto have yet to clean up their defensive issues and will be up against a dynamic attacking unit in fantastic form, and we believe they will be a handful for the Reds this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 73.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 9.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawToronto
73.77% (0.23299999999999 0.23) 16.31% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 9.91% (-0.224 -0.22)
Both teams to score 48.28% (-0.873 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (-0.671 -0.67)38.92% (0.67 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.76% (-0.709 -0.71)61.23% (0.709 0.71)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.91% (-0.114 -0.11)9.08% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.12% (-0.273 -0.27)30.87% (0.272 0.27)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.11% (-0.89400000000001 -0.89)46.89% (0.893 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.59% (-0.686 -0.69)82.4% (0.685 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 73.76%
    Toronto 9.91%
    Draw 16.31%
Columbus CrewDrawToronto
2-0 @ 12.25% (0.26 0.26)
1-0 @ 10.21% (0.261 0.26)
3-0 @ 9.8% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.88% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.45% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.82% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.14% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.067 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 73.76%
1-1 @ 7.74% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 16.31%
0-1 @ 3.23% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 9.91%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Toronto

Columbus Crew
88.5%
Draw
11.5%
Toronto
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
Mar 12, 2022 6.30pm
Columbus Crew
2-1
Toronto
Zelarayan (56'), Etienne (65')
Mensah (29'), Diaz Espinoza (82'), Artur (84')
Jimenez (14')
Nelson (64'), Priso-Mbongue (79')
May 29, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Columbus Crew
2-1
Toronto
Diaz Espinoza (12'), Zardes (22')
Akinola (52')
rhs 2.0
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