Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.