Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.