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Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
Toronto FC

Philadelphia
4 - 2
Toronto

MacNaughton (16' og.), Uhre (20', 43', 56')
Elliott (36'), Carranza (63')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Insigne (66'), Laryea (90+2')
Insigne (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Toronto

 With a massive CCL semi-final just around the corner, the Union might have one eye on this game and another on their opening match with LAFC. That being said, both teams have quality all over the field, but the Reds have struggled to close out fixtures this year, while it has been the opposite story for Philly.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 12.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
69.61% (0.0010000000000048 0) 17.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 12.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 51.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (0.0020000000000095 0)10.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.91%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 69.61%
    Toronto 12.47%
    Draw 17.92%
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
2-0 @ 11.3%
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.92%
4-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.15%
5-0 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 69.61%
1-1 @ 8.45%
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.92%
0-1 @ 3.7%
1-2 @ 3.61%
0-2 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 12.47%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Toronto

Philadelphia Union
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Toronto
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Philadelphia
4-0
Toronto
Gazdag (4', 60' pen., 63'), Uhre (42')

Bradley (29')
Apr 17, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Philadelphia
Jimenez (39'), Pozuelo (51')
Nelson (19'), Pozuelo (30'), Bradley (45+1'), Chung (75')
Carranza (34')
Carranza (53')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 41
Toronto
2-2
Philadelphia
Altidore (66'), Elliott (70' og.)
Mavinga (57')
Bedoya (1'), Santos (77')
Andres Martinez (87')
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 21
Philadelphia
3-0
Toronto
Glesnes (12'), Gazdag (33' pen.), Santos (36')
Glesnes (26'), Wagner (47'), Mbaizo (90')
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 21
Philadelphia
5-0
Toronto
Santos (27', 63', 68'), McKenzie (33'), Monteiro (55')
Monteiro (9'), Blake (64')

Auro (10'), Mullins (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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