MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 21:02:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
0 - 2
Chelmsford City


Wraight (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Crichlow (33'), Ruff (45')
Appiah (19'), Greenidge (30'), Donaldson (90+1')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawChelmsford City
24.59% (0.496 0.5) 25.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 50.24% (-0.49 -0.49)
Both teams to score 50.92% (0.517 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.29% (0.429 0.43)51.71% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (0.372 0.37)73.48% (-0.371 -0.37)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (0.679 0.68)35.88% (-0.675 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.686 0.69)72.65% (-0.685 -0.69)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)20.59% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)53.13% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 24.59%
    Chelmsford City 50.24%
    Draw 25.16%
AFC HornchurchDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 7.57% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.13% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.1% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.33% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.59%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 11.67% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.23% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.24%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Worthing2816754435955
2Boreham WoodBoreham Wood28157650262452
3Dorking WanderersDorking29157759382152
4Maidstone UnitedMaidstone291410545252052
5Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd281410442261652
6Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne29141053527852
7Truro CityTruro City28147740271349
8Weston-super-MareWeston2913884336747
9Hampton & RichmondHampton28128840291144
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels28111073632443
11Chesham UnitedChesham2710893840-238
12Farnborough TownFarnborough27115113638-238
13Chelmsford CityChelmsford City2891094339437
14Slough TownSlough2999114747036
15Chippenham TownChippenham28105133838035
16Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.27104133748-1134
17AFC HornchurchHornchurch2688102729-232
18Salisbury27710103335-231
19Bath City2786132432-830
20Welling UnitedWelling United2993173351-1830
21St Albans CitySt Albans City28312132743-1621
22Aveley2855183051-2120
23Enfield Town2855182758-3120
24Weymouth29210171842-2416


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