Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.