Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
39.34% ( 1.32) | 25.06% ( -0.05) | 35.59% ( -1.27) |
Both teams to score 57.4% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% ( 0.12) | 46.07% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% ( 0.11) | 68.37% ( -0.11) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% ( 0.74) | 23.22% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.88% ( 1.07) | 57.12% ( -1.07) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% ( -0.65) | 25.24% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.01% ( -0.91) | 59.98% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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