Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for York City had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | York City |
47.82% ( -0.8) | 24.45% ( 0.23) | 27.73% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.63% ( -0.64) | 46.36% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.35% ( -0.61) | 68.65% ( 0.61) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.53% ( -0.58) | 19.47% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.67% ( -0.95) | 51.33% ( 0.95) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.52% ( 0.09) | 30.48% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.3% ( 0.11) | 66.69% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.82% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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