Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Halifax Town |
21.38% ( -0.22) | 22.98% ( -0.05) | 55.64% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.08% ( -0.04) | 45.91% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.77% ( -0.04) | 68.22% ( 0.03) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.37% ( -0.24) | 35.63% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.6% ( -0.25) | 72.4% ( 0.24) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.66% ( 0.08) | 16.34% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.05% ( 0.15) | 45.94% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Halifax Town |
1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 21.38% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.39% 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 55.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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