MX23RW : Monday, March 10 03:01:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Feb 15, 2025 at 12pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
1 - 2
Leeds U21s

Stepien-Iwumene (31')
Turley (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gray (65', 84')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Leeds United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest U21s 1-1 Derby U21s
Monday, February 10 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 1-1 Leeds U21s
Friday, February 7 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-21s win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.27%) and 3-2 (4.77%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawLeeds United Under-21s
42.54% (-0.118 -0.12) 21.29% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 36.17% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 71.99% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.81% (-0.193 -0.19)27.19% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.27% (-0.244 -0.24)47.73% (0.251 0.25)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.07% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)13.93% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.61% (-0.235 -0.23)41.39% (0.241 0.24)
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.64% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)16.36% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.02% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)45.98% (0.105 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 42.54%
    Leeds United Under-21s 36.17%
    Draw 21.29%
Derby County Under-21sDrawLeeds United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.49% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 42.54%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 7.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.28% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 21.29%
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.13% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 1.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 36.17%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2024 1pm
Leeds U21s
3-0
Derby U21s
Snowdon (22', 25'), Lopata-White (31')
Lopata-White (47'), Allen (87'), Moore (90+4')

Keilen (30'), Radcliffe (73')
Mar 6, 2023 7pm
Leeds U21s
3-0
Derby U21s
Greenwood (15'), Snowdon (25'), Perkins (81')
Aug 5, 2022 7pm
Derby U21s
2-5
Leeds U21s
Moore (53' og.), Aghatise (55')
Fernandez (12', 26', 28', 69'), Perkins (61')
Debayo (42')
rhs 2.0
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