MX23RW : Sunday, April 21 10:51:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 15, 2024 at 1pm UK
Elland Road

Leeds U21s
3 - 0
Derby U21s

Snowdon (22', 25'), Lopata-White (31')
Lopata-White (47'), Allen (87'), Moore (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Keilen (30'), Radcliffe (73')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Leeds United Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest U21s 4-0 Leeds U21s
Saturday, April 6 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: West Ham U21s 3-2 Derby U21s
Friday, April 5 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.4%) and 3-1 (5.25%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Leeds United Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
43.51% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 19.84% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 36.66% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 77.95% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.25% (0.015000000000001 0.02)19.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.27% (0.018999999999998 0.02)37.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.37% (0.016999999999996 0.02)10.63% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.54% (0.031999999999996 0.03)34.46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.22%12.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)39.06% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United Under-21s 43.51%
    Derby County Under-21s 36.66%
    Draw 19.84%
Leeds United Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.02%
3-2 @ 5.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 3.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 3.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-3 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 43.51%
2-2 @ 7.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-1 @ 6.26% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-4 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.84%
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 4.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 1.9%
2-5 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 36.66%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2023 7pm
Leeds U21s
3-0
Derby U21s
Greenwood (15'), Snowdon (25'), Perkins (81')
Aug 5, 2022 7pm
Derby U21s
2-5
Leeds U21s
Moore (53' og.), Aghatise (55')
Fernandez (12', 26', 28', 69'), Perkins (61')
Debayo (42')
rhs 2.0
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