Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.