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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Bournemouth logo

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Bournemouth

Rogers (45+1'), Diaby (57'), Bailey (78')
Cash (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Solanke (31' pen.)
Smith (21'), Senesi (37'), Zabarnyi (55')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa come from behind to record a 3-1 victory over Bournemouth in Sunday afternoon's Premier League contest at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Aston Villa (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-2 Man Utd
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
59.75% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 19.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 20.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.45% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)32.61% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.72% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.28% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.25% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)10.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.72% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.9% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)64.78% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 59.75%
    Bournemouth 20.4%
    Draw 19.85%
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.75%
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 59.75%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 20.4%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth

Aston Villa
76.6%
Draw
16.2%
Bournemouth
7.2%
167
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Bournemouth
2-2
Aston Villa
Semenyo (10'), Solanke (52')
Kluivert (12'), Semenyo (17'), Senesi (45+4'), Christie (54'), Kerkez (84')
Bailey (20'), Watkins (90')
Torres (29'), Zaniolo (43'), Duran (84')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Aston Villa
3-0
Bournemouth
Luiz (7'), Ramsey (80'), Buendia (89')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Bournemouth
2-0
Aston Villa
Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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