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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Bournemouth logo

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Bournemouth

Rogers (45+1'), Diaby (57'), Bailey (78')
Cash (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Solanke (31' pen.)
Smith (21'), Senesi (37'), Zabarnyi (55')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa come from behind to record a 3-1 victory over Bournemouth in Sunday afternoon's Premier League contest at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Aston Villa (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-2 Man Utd
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
59.75% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 19.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 20.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.45% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)32.61% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.72% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.28% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.25% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)10.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.72% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.9% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)64.78% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 59.75%
    Bournemouth 20.4%
    Draw 19.85%
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.75%
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 59.75%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 20.4%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth

Aston Villa
76.6%
Draw
16.2%
Bournemouth
7.2%
167
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Bournemouth
2-2
Aston Villa
Semenyo (10'), Solanke (52')
Kluivert (12'), Semenyo (17'), Senesi (45+4'), Christie (54'), Kerkez (84')
Bailey (20'), Watkins (90')
Torres (29'), Zaniolo (43'), Duran (84')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Aston Villa
3-0
Bournemouth
Luiz (7'), Ramsey (80'), Buendia (89')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Bournemouth
2-0
Aston Villa
Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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