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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Southampton logo

Aston Villa
4 - 0
Southampton

Watkins (9'), Luiz (44'), Coutinho (52'), Ings (54')
Watkins (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romeu (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Burnley
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Man City vs. Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Liverpool
Tuesday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Next Game: Leicester vs. Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 2-3 Southampton

Aston Villa have recently dropped points against three teams fighting against relegation – Newcastle United, Leeds United and Watford – and while confidence will have been lifted by last weekend's win against Brighton, Gerrard's men could be in for a challenging encounter against Southampton. Hasenhuttl's well-oiled machine has put together a strong run of form since the turn of the year and when also taking into account their impressive record against the Villans, we can see the Saints coming away with all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
44.42%25.51%30.08%
Both teams to score 54.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.4%49.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.38%71.62%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71%22.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25%55.75%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55%30.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34%66.66%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 44.41%
    Southampton 30.08%
    Draw 25.5%
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.41%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.79%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.07%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Southampton

Aston Villa
41.6%
Draw
17.3%
Southampton
41.0%
173
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Nov 1, 2020 12pm
Aston Villa
3-4
Southampton
Mings (62'), Watkins (90+3' pen.), Grealish (90+7')
Cash (43')
Vestergaard (20'), Ward-Prowse (33', 45'), Ings (58')
Ward-Prowse (12'), Diallo (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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