Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.