Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.