Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.05%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.