Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Everton had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.