Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Leicester City win it was 2-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.