Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.