Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.