Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.