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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 30, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Villa Park
Newcastle logo

Aston Villa
1 - 3
Newcastle

Watkins (71')
Kamara (39'), Luiz (72'), McGinn (77'), Zaniolo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Schar (32', 36'), Moreno (52' og.)
Gordon (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Fabian Schar scores a first-half brace to lead Newcastle United to a 3-1 away victory over Aston Villa in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawNewcastle United
51.5% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 22.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.77% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.11% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (-0.187 -0.19)40.12% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (-0.194 -0.19)62.49% (0.197 0.2)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)15.71% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)44.78% (0.11 0.11)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32% (-0.14099999999999 -0.14)28.68% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5% (-0.178 -0.18)64.5% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 51.5%
    Newcastle United 25.77%
    Draw 22.73%
Aston VillaDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 51.5%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 25.77%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Newcastle

Aston Villa
55.7%
Draw
26.4%
Newcastle United
17.9%
246
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newcastle
5-1
Aston Villa
Tonali (6'), Isak (16', 58'), Wilson (77'), Barnes (90+1')
Botman (45+9'), Gordon (53'), Guimaraes (67'), Tonali (90+2')
Diaby (11')
Luiz (6'), Digne (32'), Martinez (45+9'), Cash (48')
Jul 24, 2023 12am
Club Friendlies
Newcastle
3-3
Aston Villa
Anderson (28'), Isak (45'), Wilson (55')
Joelinton (87'), Burn (94')
Watkins (7'), Buendia (11', 48')
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 31
Aston Villa
3-0
Newcastle
Ramsey (11'), Watkins (64', 83')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Newcastle
4-0
Aston Villa
Wilson (45+5' pen., 56'), Joelinton (59'), Almiron (67')
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Newcastle
1-0
Aston Villa
Trippier (35')
Joelinton (39'), Burn (66'), Shelvey (82')

McGinn (42'), Luiz (89'), Bailey (90+5'), Ramsey (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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