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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Bournemouth logo

Newcastle
1 - 1
Bournemouth

Isak (67' pen.)
Joelinton (69'), Burn (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Billing (62')
Christie (34'), Tavernier (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-0 Bournemouth

Newcastle's sturdy rearguard will prove quite the upgrade on a flaky Nottingham Forest defence for Bournemouth this weekend, and the Cherries' penchant for conceding goals away from home is apparent. The potential returns of Saint-Maximin and Guimaraes will only benefit the hosts at their St James' Park fortress, and we expect the Magpies to claim a long-awaited win before the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
62.51% (0.46400000000001 0.46) 21.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 16.24% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 50.25% (-1.001 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9% (-0.821 -0.82)46.1% (0.818 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (-0.784 -0.78)68.4% (0.779 0.78)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.84% (-0.124 -0.12)14.15% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.17% (-0.239 -0.24)41.82% (0.235 0.23)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.54% (-1.081 -1.08)41.45% (1.077 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.04% (-0.965 -0.97)77.96% (0.962 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 62.51%
    Bournemouth 16.24%
    Draw 21.24%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 11.21% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 62.51%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.24%
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.24%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Newcastle United
87.9%
Draw
7.2%
Bournemouth
4.9%
264
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
King (48' pen., 81')
Lerma (19'), Ibe (45'), Daniels (83')
Rondon (45'), Ritchie (94')
Perez (9'), Hayden (75')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Newcastle
2-1
Bournemouth
Rondon (7', 40')
Schar (45'), Rondon (90')
Lerma (45')
Cook (90')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
Smith (80'), Gosling (89')
Ake (52')
Gayle (17', 45')
Ritchie (53'), Yedlin (82'), Diame (85'), Perez (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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