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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bournemouth 1-2 Aston Villa

Beaten just three times in 23 home games last season, albeit at Championship level, Bournemouth will be no pushovers at their own headquarters - but there is a gulf in quality between these two squads. Since returning to the top-flight themselves three years ago, Villa have built a setup worthy of the top half, and can use their superior firepower to take three points back to Birmingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
27.63% (-0.734 -0.73) 24.73% (0.343 0.34) 47.63% (0.398 0.4)
Both teams to score 54.98% (-1.684 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-1.966 -1.97)47.66% (1.974 1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-1.842 -1.84)69.86% (1.85 1.85)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (-1.558 -1.56)31.23% (1.566 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-1.856 -1.86)67.57% (1.864 1.86)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.616 -0.62)20.06% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.71% (-1.007 -1.01)52.29% (1.014 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 27.63%
    Aston Villa 47.63%
    Draw 24.73%
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.285 0.29)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 27.63%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.499 0.5)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.616 0.62)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.08% (0.349 0.35)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.33% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.63%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Bournemouth
15.3%
Draw
12.0%
Aston Villa
72.7%
300
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Arsenal105321711618
5Aston Villa95311611518
6Chelsea95221911817
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
8Bournemouth104331312115
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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