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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Burnley logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Burnley

Almiron (14'), Isak (76' pen.)
Gordon (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Amdouni (29'), Beyer (40'), Taylor (53')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United make it three straight wins in the Premier League courtesy of a 2-0 success over Burnley at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
46.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.42% (0.0019999999999989 0) 27.5%
Both teams to score 49.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)54.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)75.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)57.71% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 46.07%
    Burnley 27.5%
    Draw 26.41%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 46.07%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.5%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Burnley

Newcastle United
86.7%
Draw
9.5%
Burnley
3.8%
105
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 38
Burnley
1-2
Newcastle
Cornet (69')
Tarkowski (65')
Wilson (20' pen., 60')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Newcastle
1-0
Burnley
Wilson (40')
Manquillo (87')

Collins (75')
Aug 25, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Newcastle
0-0
Burnley
Burnley win 4-3 on penalties
Collins (79'), McNeil (80')
Apr 11, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 31
Burnley
1-2
Newcastle
Vydra (18')
Brownhill (69')
Murphy (59'), Saint-Maximin (64')
Oct 3, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 4
Newcastle
3-1
Burnley
Saint-Maximin (14'), Wilson (65', 77' pen.)
Joelinton (37'), Lewis (49')
Westwood (61')
Tarkowski (37'), Barnes (40'), McNeil (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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