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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Leicester logo

Southampton
1 - 0
Leicester

Alcaraz (35')
Alcaraz (21'), Adams (62'), Armstrong (77'), Ward-Prowse (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barnes (43'), Maddison (45+4')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton move off the bottom of the Premier League table courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Leicester City at St Mary's.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
36.63% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09) 25.15% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 38.23% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (0.104 0.1)46.35% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (0.097999999999999 0.1)68.63% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.107 0.11)23.92% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.152 0.15)58.14% (-0.15 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 36.63%
    Leicester City 38.23%
    Draw 25.15%
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.07% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.23%

How you voted: Southampton vs Leicester

Southampton
17.4%
Draw
19.9%
Leicester City
62.7%
161
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Leicester
1-2
Southampton
Maddison (54')
Daka (76'), Maddison (90+4')
Adams (68', 84')
Elyounoussi (64'), Aribo (82'), Lavia (90+4')
May 22, 2022 4pm
Leicester
4-1
Southampton
Maddison (49'), Vardy (74'), Perez (81', 90+6')
Ward-Prowse (79' pen.)
Romeu (70')
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
Bednarek (3'), Adams (34')
Romeu (48')
Evans (22'), Maddison (49')
Lookman (55'), Ndidi (82'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+3')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Apr 18, 2021 6.30pm
Semi-Finals
Leicester
1-0
Southampton
Iheanacho (55')

Diallo (5'), Soyuncu (49'), Bednarek (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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