Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.