We said: Watford 1-2 Brentford
A few months ago, Watford would have fancied their chances against an out-of-form Brentford side, but the Bees now look a much stronger proposition and they will head into Saturday's clash as the favourites.
The pressure is on the hosts to claim maximum points as they bid to boost their hopes of survival, but we can see the visitors continuing their impressive run of form with another victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.