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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Vicarage Road
Arsenal logo

Watford
2 - 3
Arsenal

FT(HT: 1-2)
Odegaard (5'), Saka (30'), Martinelli (52')
Soares (58'), Nketiah (90+3')

The Match

Team News

Emile Smith Rowe is absent from the Arsenal squad for Sunday's Premier League clash with Watford.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Watford and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Watford.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with Watford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-5 Leicester
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Next Game: Chelsea vs. Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal
Monday, May 16 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Arsenal vs. Everton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Watford 0-2 Arsenal

Watford's distinct lack of a clinical finisher should be exposed by a staunch Arsenal defence on Sunday, although Hodgson's side will be aware that the Gunners are still prone to the odd mistake. However, the Hornets have posted defeat after defeat at home recently and are facing an Arsenal side almost at the peak of their powers, so we can only envisage the visitors inching closer to the Champions League with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 17.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawArsenal
17.04%21.8%61.17%
Both teams to score 50.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.92%47.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.68%69.32%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96%41.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41%77.59%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1%14.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.74%43.26%
Score Analysis
    Watford 17.04%
    Arsenal 61.16%
    Draw 21.79%
WatfordDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 5.45%
2-1 @ 4.62%
2-0 @ 2.43%
3-1 @ 1.37%
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 17.04%
1-1 @ 10.36%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 11.64%
0-2 @ 11.08%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-3 @ 7.03%
1-3 @ 6.26%
0-4 @ 3.35%
1-4 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.79%
2-4 @ 1.33%
0-5 @ 1.28%
1-5 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 61.16%

How you voted: Watford vs Arsenal

Watford
15.6%
Draw
6.3%
Arsenal
78.0%
205
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Arsenal
1-0
Watford
Smith Rowe (56')
Sambi Lokonga (20'), Tomiyasu (30'), Aubameyang (52'), Magalhaes (80')

King (10'), Kucka (31'), Sissoko (54')
Kucka (89')
Jul 28, 2021 3pm
Jul 26, 2020 4pm
Arsenal
3-2
Watford
Aubameyang (5' pen., 33'), Tierney (24')
Xhaka (45'), Holding (72'), Martinez (74')
Deeney (43' pen.)
Pereyra (35'), Hughes (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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