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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Arouca
1 - 3
Guimaraes

Cristo (39' pen.)
Kouassi (45+2'), Simao (64'), Borevkovic (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oliveira (50'), Thiago (53' og.), Silva (62')
Silva (33'), Silva (45+3'), Andre (72'), Lawal (82'), Ribeiro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Arouca
Sunday, May 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-3 Braga
Saturday, May 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Still licking their wounds from their defeat against Braga, Vitoria de Guimaraes will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result and end the season on a high. However, Arouca have rock-solid at home of late and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
43.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 24.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.95% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.98% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13% (0.017000000000003 0.02)44.87% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (0.016000000000005 0.02)67.23% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.74% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)53.37% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.14% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 43.44%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 31.95%
    Draw 24.6%
AroucaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.44%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.95%

How you voted: Arouca vs Guimaraes

Arouca
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
2-1
Arouca
Silva (45'), Silva (64')
Pacheco (32')
Jason (8')
Montero (31'), Jason (40'), Trezza (90+3')
Mar 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 24
Guimaraes
0-2
Arouca
Mujica (50'), Antony (77')
Sep 18, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Bukia (33'), Quaresma (70')
Silva (57'), Lameiras (90+12' pen.)
Feb 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Guimaraes
1-3
Arouca
Estupinan (26')
Luz (67'), Quaresma (80'), Janvier (86'), Fernandes (88')
Basso (13'), Antony (35'), Bukia (41')
Kouassi (27'), Galovic (48'), Simao (70'), Silva (89')
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Dabbagh (75'), Pite (90+4')
Bento Oleques (54')
Quaresma (7'), Silva (72')
Fernandes (23'), Quaresma (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AroucaArouca00000000
2AVS00000000
3Benfica00000000
4BoavistaBoavista00000000
5Casa Pia00000000
6Estoril PraiaEstoril00000000
7Estrela Amadora00000000
8FamalicaoFamalicao00000000
9SC FarenseFarense00000000
10Gil Vicente00000000
11MoreirenseMoreirense00000000
12Nacional00000000
13Porto00000000
14Rio AveRio Ave00000000
15Santa ClaraSanta Clara00000000
16Braga00000000
17Sporting Lisbon00000000
18Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes00000000


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