Guimaraes

4 - 0

Floriana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Floriana had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Floriana win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.