Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
79.92% (![]() | 12.77% (![]() | 7.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.31% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.7% (![]() | 30.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.45% (![]() | 51.55% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.12% (![]() | 5.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.46% (![]() | 22.53% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.46% (![]() | 46.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.86% (![]() | 82.14% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
2-0 @ 10.98% (![]() 3-0 @ 10.37% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.4% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.94% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.75% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 4.25% Total : 79.91% | 1-1 @ 5.93% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.74% ( ![]() Other @ 0.89% Total : 12.77% | 1-2 @ 2.27% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 7.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |