Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
70.55% (![]() | 17.58% (![]() | 11.87% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.87% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.78% (![]() | 39.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.45% (![]() | 61.55% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.07% (![]() | 9.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.13% (![]() | 32.86% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.48% (![]() | 43.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.27% (![]() | 79.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
2-0 @ 11.52% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.98% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.72% Total : 70.55% | 1-1 @ 8.3% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.58% | 0-1 @ 3.6% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.45% 0-2 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.26% Total : 11.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |