Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Gil Vicente |
31.95% ( -0.06) | 25.78% ( 0.01) | 42.27% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.97% ( -0.07) | 50.02% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.99% ( -0.06) | 72% ( 0.05) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% ( -0.07) | 29.38% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.63% ( -0.09) | 65.36% ( 0.08) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% ( -0.01) | 23.5% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.47% ( -0.01) | 57.53% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.95% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 42.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | AroucaArouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | AVS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | BoavistaBoavista | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Estrela Amadora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Sporting Lisbon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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