Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Famalicao |
35.7% ( 0.03) | 27.27% ( 0.18) | 37.04% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 50.06% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.56% ( -0.7) | 55.44% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.37% ( -0.58) | 76.63% ( 0.58) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.34% ( -0.33) | 29.66% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.3% ( -0.4) | 65.7% ( 0.4) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.16% ( -0.46) | 28.84% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.3% ( -0.58) | 64.7% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.69% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
2 | Porto | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 21 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
10 | AVS | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
11 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 7 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 4 |
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