Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Famalicao |
35.7% (![]() | 27.27% (![]() | 37.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.06% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.56% (![]() | 55.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.37% (![]() | 76.63% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.34% (![]() | 29.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.3% (![]() | 65.7% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.16% (![]() | 28.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.3% (![]() | 64.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.39% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.32% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.69% | 1-1 @ 12.92% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.89% ( ![]() Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.63% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |